Double · two matches: Ipswich Town — Liverpool FC · VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Cologne
Published 4 Sept, 15:43
Double
Ipswich Town0:2WinLiverpool FC
SelectionTotal cards · Over 3.5Odds1.68
VfB Stuttgart4:1Win1. FC Cologne
SelectionBoth teams to score · YesOdds1.5
Match analysis
Ipswich Town hosts Liverpool, and a bet on over 3.5 cards looks quite logical here. Ipswich has been showing an active style of play in recent matches, which is confirmed by their average total of 3.3 cards per match. The referee Darren England, who will officiate this match, has an average of about 3.8 cards per game, which also indicates the likelihood of yellow cards being issued. The model estimates the probability of over 3.5 cards at 66%, which provides a solid basis for our bet.
Liverpool has not shown consistency in their recent games, and their form leaves much to be desired: only two draws and one win in their last five matches. They are conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game, which could provoke additional fouls and cards from defenders. In matches involving Liverpool, both teams score in 92% of cases, which can also lead to a tense game.
As for Stuttgart and Cologne, a bet on both teams to score seems quite justified. Both clubs have high scoring averages: Stuttgart scores an average of 2.3 goals per match, while Cologne scores 1.6. Both teams have scored in 67% of Stuttgart's matches and 92% of Cologne's matches, creating excellent conditions for goal exchanges.
Stuttgart's form leaves mixed feelings: after a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich, they have managed several wins and draws. Cologne is finding their rhythm with recent victories over strong opponents like Real Sociedad and Hoffenheim. The expected score according to the model is 1.5 : 1.1 with both teams scoring around a 53% probability.
Thus, we take over 3.5 cards in the Ipswich vs Liverpool match at odds of 1.68 and bet on both teams to score in the Stuttgart vs Cologne match at odds of 1.5. The total odds for our accumulator will be around 2.52, making it an attractive option for betting today.
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