Double · two matches: FC Viktoria Cologne — Hansa Rostock · BK Hacken — Mjallby AIF
Published 11 Sept, 16:42
Double
FC Viktoria Cologne4:0WinHansa Rostock
SelectionTotal · Over 2.5Odds1.61
BK Hacken1:1LossMjallby AIF
Selection2Up Result match · BK HackenOdds1.48
Match analysis
In the first match, FC Viktoria Cologne hosts Hansa Rostock in the 3rd League. The expected score according to the model shows 1.8 : 2.3 goals, which corresponds to a total of about 4.1 goals. This is supported by the fact that Viktoria Cologne has an average total of 3.3 goals in recent matches, scoring an average of 1.6 and conceding 1.7. At the same time, Hansa Rostock demonstrates even higher figures: they score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match, with an average total of their games being 4.8.
The form of both teams also indicates a high level of scoring. Viktoria Cologne has been alternating wins and losses in recent games, but in their matches, both teams have scored in 58% of cases, and totals over 2.5 are recorded in 57% of matches. For Hansa Rostock, both teams have scored in an impressive 92% of encounters, with totals over 2.5 occurring in 75%. Thus, a bet on over 2.5 (TB 2.5) seems logical at odds of 1.61.
In the second match, BK Hacken will play against Mjallby AIF in Allsvenskan. The expected score here is 1.7 : 1.4 goals with a total of about 3.1 goals, which also confirms the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter — the model estimates the probability of over 2.5 (TB 2.5) at around 60%. Hacken shows decent form with recent wins and an average scoring rate of about 1.4 goals per match while conceding around 1.5.
Mjallby AIF is not in the best form and is suffering consecutive defeats, but their games are also characterized by a high likelihood of goals: both teams have scored in their matches in 56% of cases and totals over 2.5 are recorded in half of the encounters (50%). It’s also important to note the motivation of the teams: Hacken is fighting for European competition spots while Mjallby is battling for survival.
Thus, a bet on the home win (P1) at odds of 1.48 seems justified given the current forms and motivations of the teams.
In conclusion, our parlay includes a bet on Total Over 2.5 (TB 2.5) in the FC Viktoria Cologne — Hansa Rostock match at odds of 1.61 and a bet on BK Hacken to win (P1) at odds of 1.48; the overall odds will be approximately 2.38.
Loss review
We took P1 with a coefficient of 1.48. Final score 1:1 — the bet lost (LOSS). In the end, we were just one goal short of winning, the line didn't reach the desired result.
The match turned out to be equal in play, which led to the draw outcome. Missed on the line, moving on.
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