Double · two matches: Genoa CFC — Como 1907 · Real Betis Seville — Real Madrid

Let's start with the match between Genoa and Como. The expected score according to the model shows 0.8 : 1.3, indicating a total of about 2.1 goals. Considering that Genoa has not been impressive in recent matches — scoring only 0.6 goals per game and conceding 1.2, the chances of both teams scoring seem doubtful. However, Como demonstrates a more confident attacking play, scoring 1.8 per match and having a 50% probability of both teams scoring in their encounters. Additionally, Genoa often concedes first (in several cases), which could play to Como's advantage, as they score first in 67% of their matches. Taking all this into account, betting on "both teams to score - yes" seems reasonable at odds of 1.92.

Now let's move on to the match between Real Betis and Real Madrid. Here, betting on Real's individual total cards over 1.5 looks justified considering referee Marco Guida's statistics, which show an average of ~3.9 cards per match. Real Madrid attacks actively and may receive several yellow cards for fouls in midfield or stopping play against aggressive Betis. Moreover, Real's form is impressive: the team has won its last five matches with a total score of 14:2, indicating a high level of play and a possible need to defend against counterattacks from the opponent.

In conclusion, the overall bet looks as follows: both teams to score in the Genoa - Como match and Real's individual total cards over 1.5 in the game against Betis give us an overall odds of 3.26. The risk here lies in Genoa's unstable form, but the logic behind the bet suggests that the chances of success are quite high given the offered odds. Let's take this express bet!