Accumulator · 4 matches: Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV…
Published 29 Aug, 17:14
Accumulator legs
Tottenham Hotspur0:2WinNewcastle United
SelectionTotal · Under 3.5Odds1.68
Borussia Dortmund2:0LossHamburger SV
SelectionTotal · Over 2.5Odds1.56
Strasbourg Alsace2:1WinRacing Club De Lens
SelectionBoth teams to score · YesOdds1.57
Monza2:3WinUdinese
SelectionTotal cards · Over 3Odds1.37
Match analysis
Tottenham and Newcastle will meet in a match that promises to be tense. The expected score according to the model is 0.9 : 1.2, indicating a low total of goals — around 2.1. Tottenham has not impressed in recent games: in their last 12 matches, they average only 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with an overall match total of just 2.4 goals. In contrast, Newcastle has a more balanced statistic with 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, but their away performance significantly drops — only 33% of matches feature both teams scoring and just 17% have a total over 2.5.
Borussia Dortmund hosts Hamburg, and the situation looks more optimistic for viewers expecting goals here. The expected score according to the model is 1.3 : 1.1 with a probability of the total exceeding 2.5 at 43%. Dortmund shows good form with three consecutive wins and an average scoring rate of 1.9 goals per match while conceding only one goal. Hamburg, although less consistent, still shows a high percentage of matches with both teams scoring — up to 75%.
In the match between Strasbourg and Lens, it’s worth noting the high probability of both teams scoring — around 67%. The expected score here also indicates a high number of goals: the model suggests an overall total of about 3 with an 80% chance for over 2.5 goals. Strasbourg demonstrates decent scoring ability at home and can create problems for Lens's defense.
Finally, Monza faces Udinese in a match where interesting football can also be expected with a high chance of cards — the model predicts about five yellow cards per game with a probability of over three cards at 60%. Monza has statistics from recent matches showing a high overall total (averaging nearly four goals), while Udinese often finishes its games without scoring or with low results.
Taking all these factors into account, we can conclude that betting on Under for the Tottenham vs Newcastle match looks logical; betting on Over for the Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg encounter is also justified; both teams should score in the Strasbourg vs Lens game; and betting on Over for cards between Monza and Udinese appears reasonable.
Let’s take an accumulator: Under 3.5 (Tottenham — Newcastle) odds: 1.68; Over 2.5 (Borussia Dortmund — Hamburg) odds: 1.56; Both Teams to Score (Strasbourg — Lens) odds: 1.57; Over Cards (Monza — Udinese) odds: 1.37; total odds: 5.64.
Loss review
We took the total over 2.5. The final score was 2:0 — a total of 2 goals, missing the line by 0.5. The match was played at a low pace, and the teams did not create enough chances to exceed the line. Miss on the total.
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