Zheng, Qinwen — Rybakina, Elena

Zheng Qinwen and Elena Rybakina meet in the quarterfinals of the US Open, and there are good reasons to believe that Rybakina can secure a confident victory. According to the match model, the expected score is 0:2 in favor of Rybakina, with a probability of about 60%. This is supported by the current form of both players.

Zheng has been performing excellently in this tournament, winning seven matches in a row, including an impressive victory over Iga Swiatek. However, it's worth noting that her record in 2026 isn't as strong — 16-13, indicating some instability. Meanwhile, Rybakina boasts an impressive record of 44-13 over the same period and shows consistency on hard courts with a 31-7 record.

Rybakina's form also inspires confidence: she has won four matches with a score of 2:0 in this tournament and looks solid on her serve. In her last match against Naomi Osaka, she won 27 out of 31 points on her first serve. However, there is a caveat — Rybakina has leg issues that may have affected her preparation for this match. Nevertheless, the motivation to fight for the title of world number one could play a key role.

Head-to-head meetings also favor Rybakina: she leads the rivalry against Zheng 4-1, with three out of five matches ending in three sets. This suggests that even if Zheng manages to put up a fight, Rybakina has every chance to finish the match in two sets.

Taking all these factors into account, betting on an exact score of 0:2 in favor of Rybakina seems logical and justified. The odds of 2 appear quite reasonable for such an outcome.