Struff, Jan-Lennard — Cerundolo, Francisco

Jan-Lennard Struff and Francisco Cerundolo meet at the US Open, and there are several key points to highlight. First, the match model from ClubElo shows that Cerundolo's chances of winning are higher, considering his higher ATP ranking — 25th place compared to Struff's 44th. This already gives the Argentine an advantage.

The form of both players also plays an important role. Struff won his first match in the tournament comfortably with a score of 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. However, it is worth noting that his last match ended in defeat — he lost to Alejandro Tabilo with a score of 0:2. Cerundolo also started the tournament with a confident victory over Filip Misolic but then suffered a defeat to Nuno Borges. This creates some instability in his game.

The head-to-head encounters between these tennis players also inspire confidence in betting on Cerundolo. In their only match last year, he confidently defeated Struff with a score of 6-0, 6-2. Such a record can psychologically pressure Jan-Lennard.

Considering all of the above and the current forms of the players, betting on Francisco Cerundolo to win seems reasonable. The odds of 1.57 align well with the probabilities of the match outcome, so we take P2 as the optimal betting option.